Сборник статей - Цивилизация, притворяющаяся страной. Ведущие западные аналитики о России

10‘IMF Warns Ukraine Bailout at Risk of Collapse’, Financial Times, 9 December 2014; ‘Ukraine’s Moribund

Economy Hurting Many’, Euronews, 10 October 2014, http://www.euronews.com/2014/10/10/ukraine-smoribund-economy-hurting-many/; ‘Ukraine 2014 Inflation Rises to 24.9 pct, Highest in 14 Years’, Reuters, 6 January 2015, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/01/06/ukraine-crisisprices-idUSL6N0UL0V920150106

11Robert Kirchner, ‘The Economy of the Donbas in Figures’, German Advisory Group technical note, TN/04/2014, June 2014, http://www.ier.com.ua/files/publications/Policy_Briefing_Series/TN_04_2014_en.pdf

12See ‘In the Kremlin’s Pocket’, The Economist, 14 February 2015; Liis Kangsepp and Juhana Rossi, ‘Estonia Says Officer Abducted Near Russian Border’, Wall Street Journal, 5 September 2014, http://www.wsj.com/articles/estonian-officer-abductednear-border-with-russia-1409928475; and Thomas Frear, Lukasz Kulesa and Ian Kearns, ‘Dangerous Brinkmanship: Close Military Encounters Between Russia and the West in 2014’, European Leadership Network policy brief, November 2014, http://www.europeanleadershipnetwork.org/medialibrary/2014/11/09/6375e3da/Dangerous%20Brinkmanship.pdf

13Henry Meyer and Ksenia Galouchko, ‘U.S. Envoy Ignites Russia Controversy With Bribe Accusation’, Bloomberg, 29 May 2012, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2012—05–29/u-s-ambassador-ignites-russiacontroversy-with-bribe-accusation

14See Samuel Charap and Jeremy Shapiro, ‘A New European Security Order: The Ukraine Crisis and the Missing Post-Cold War Bargain’, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, note no. 15/2014, 8 December 2014, http://www.frstrategie.org/barreFRS/publications/notes/2014/201415.pdf

Почему санкции против России нам невыгодны

1Сharap S., Sucher B. Why Sanctions on Russia Will Backfire // The New York Times. March 5, 2015. URL: http://www.nytimes.com/ 2015/03/06/opinion/why-sanctions-on-russia-will-backfire.html?_r=1.

Реалисты Запада о международной стратегии России. Взгляд на Россию изнутри

1Friedman G. Viewing Russia Form Inside // Stratfor. December 16, 2014. URL: http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/viewing-russia-inside#axzz3M7QeQomW.

Россия порвала с однополярной системой

1 Weir F. Russia’s Plan to Avert Second Cold War // Christian Science Monitor. – 2008. – July 29 (http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Europe/2008/0729/p01s05-woeu.html).

2Russia’s Putin Set to Return as President in 2012 // BBC News. – 2011. – Sept. 24 (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-15045816).

3 Trenin D. Russia Leaves the West // Foreign Affairs. – 2004. – July – Aug.

4Выступление и дискуссия на Мюнхенской конференции по вопросам политики безопасности. 10 февраля 2007 г. //http://archive.kremlin.ru/appears/2007/02/10/1737_type63374type63376type63377type63381type82634_118097.shtml.

5 Chance M. Putin Accuses U.S. of Orchestrating Georgian War // CNN. – 2008. – Aug. 28 //http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/08/28/russia.georgia.cold.war/index.html; Putin Accuses US of Starting Georgia Crisis as Election Ploy // Guardian. – 2008. – Aug. 28 (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2008/aug/29/russia.georgia).

6Шевкунов, кинематографист по образованию, приобрел широкую известность, сняв в 2008 г. публицистический фильм «Гибель империи», где в крахе православного византийского государства обвиняются не только завоеватели-османы, но и католики-крестоносцы.

7 Путин В. Новый интеграционный проект для Евразии – будущее, которое рождается сегодня // Известия. – 2011.– 3 окт. (http://izvestia.ru/news/502761); Он же. Россия и меняющийся мир // Моск. новости. – 2012.– 27 февр. (http://www.mn.ru/politics/20120227/312306749.html).

8Заседание международного дискуссионного клуба «Валдай». 19 сентября 2013 г. // http://kremlin.ru/news/19243.

9 Gessen M. Russia Is Remaking Itself as the Leader of the Anti-Western World // Washington Post. – 2014. – Mar. 30 (http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/russia-is-remaking-itself-as-the-leader-of-the-anti-western-world/2014/03/30/8461f548-b681—11e3—8cc3-d4bf596577eb_story.html).

10Russia Will Develop as Democratic State, Defend Christian Values – Putin // Voice of Russia. – 2013. – Sept. 19 (http://voiceofrussia.com/news/2013_09_19/Russia-will-develop-as-democratic-state-defend-Christian-values-and-morality-Putin-2355).

11Russian Moves in Mideast Raising Concern and Questions in Jerusalem // JTA. – 2006. – Oct. 31 (http://www.jta.org/2006/10/31/archive/russian-moves-in-mideast-raising-concern-and-questions-in-jerusalem); Davydov P. Chechens Relish Tour of Duty in Lebanon // Moscow Times. – 2006. – Nov. 1 (http://www.themoscowtimes.com/sitemap/free/2006/11/article/chechens-relish-tour-of-duty-in-lebanon/201239.html).

12Обращение Президента Российской Федерации. 18 марта 2014 г. //http://kremlin.ru/news/20603.

13H.R. 6156 (112th): Russia and Moldova Jackson-Vanik Repeal and Sergei Magnitsky Rule of Law Accountability Act of 2012 //http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/112/hr6156.

14 Shuster S. Why Has Moscow Passed a Bill to Ban U.S. Adoption of Russian Orphans? // Time. – 2012. – Dec. 20 (http://world.time.com/2012/12/20/why-has-moscow-passed-a-law-to-ban-u-s-adoption-of-russian-orphans).

15Обращение Президента Российской Федерации. 18 марта 2014 г.

16Putin’s Approval Rating Soars to 87 %, Poll Says // Moscow Times. – 2014. – Aug. 6 (http://www.themoscowtimes.com/article/504691.html).

17 Taylor A. We Treat Him Like He’s Mad, but Vladimir Putin’s Popularity Has Just Hit a 3-year High // Washington Post. – 2014. – Mar. 13 (http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/worldviews/wp/2014/03/ 13/we-treat-him-like-hes-mad-but-vladimir-putins-popularity-has-just-hit-a-3-year-high).

18Yukos 2.0? The Arrest of Vladimir Yevtushenkov Recalls That of Mikhail Khodorkovsky // Economist. – 2014. – Sept. 20 (http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21618848-arrest-vladimir-yevtushenkov-recalls-mikhail-khodorkovsky-yukos-20).

19 MacFarquhar N., Roth A. On Unity Day, Putin Divides Nationalists // New York Times. – 2014. – Nov. 5 (http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/06/world/europe/on-unity-day-putin-divides-nationalists.html).

20Заседание международного дискуссионного клуба «Валдай». 19 сентября 2013 г.

21 Trenin D. Russia’s Great Power Problem // National Interest. – 2014. – Oct. 27.

На пути к «рейганистской» России

1 Gaddy C., O’Hanlon M. Toward a ”Reaganov” Russia: Russian Security Policy after Putin // Washington Quarterly. Summer 2015. Volume 38. Issue 2. Pp. 205–221. URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/0163660X.2015.1064718.

2 Путин В.В. «Послание Федеральному Собранию Российской Федерации». 25 апреля 2005 года. Сайт Администрации Президента России. URL: http://archive.kremlin.ru/appears/2005/04/ 25/1223_type63372type63374type82634_87049.shtml.

3 The Military Balance 1989–1990 (Oxford, England: International Institute for Strategic Studies, 1989), pp. 32–37; and The Military Balance 2014 (Oxfordshire, England: International Institute for Strategic Studies, 2014), pp. 180–186.

4 «Рейтинг одобрения Владимира Путина». Левада-Центр. URL: http://www.levada.ru/.

5 Angela E. Stent, The Limits of Partnership: U.S. – Russian Relations in the Twenty-First Century (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 2014), pp. 264–265.

6 Один из подходов к вопросу о России и Косово представлен С. Тэлботтом, см.: Strobe Talbott, “Validimir Putin’s Role, Yesterday and Today,” The Washington Post, March 21, 2014, http://www. washingtonpost.com/opinions/vladimir-putins-role-yesterday-and-today/2014/03/21/ 3d2b34c6-af85—11e3—95e8—39bef8e9a48b_story.html; более подробно о некоторых взглядах Путина касательно ПРО, концепций модернизации конвенциональных сил США «обезоруживающего мгновенного глобального удара» и «наращивания взаимозависимости между группами сил» см.: Путин В.В. «Послание Федеральному Собранию Российской Федерации». 12 декабря 2013 года. Сайт Администрации Президента России. URL: http://www.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/19825.

7 См.: Robert M. Gates, “Putin’s Challenge to the West,” The Wall Street Journal, March 25, 2014, http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB100014240527023037254045794601838545 74284.

8 Подобное мнение касательно важности данного периода времени высказал Дж. Манкофф, хотя и до событий 2014 года. См.: Jeffrey Mankoff, “Russia, the Post-Soviet Space, and Challenges to U.S. Policy,” in Timothy Colton, Timothy Frye, and Robert Legvold, eds., The Policy World Meets Academia: Designing U.S. Policy Toward Russia (Cambridge, Mass.: American Academy of Arts and Sciences, 2010), p. 49.

9 Gudrun Persson, “Security Policy and Military Strategic Thinking,” in Jakob Hedenskog and Carolina Vendil Pallin, eds., Russian Military Capability in a Ten-Year Perspective – 2013 (Stockholm, Sweden: FOI, 2013), p. 72.

1 °Cм.: James Sherr, Hard Diplomacy and Soft Coercion: Russia’s Influence Abroad (London: Royal Institute of International Affairs, 2013), p. 57.

11 Dmitry Adamsky, “Defense Innovation in Russia: The Current State and Prospects for Revival,” IGCC Defense Innovation Briefs, University of California Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, January 2014, https://escholarship.org/uc/item/0s99052x.

12 Robert Legvold, “Russian Foreign Policy During Periods of Great State Transformation,” in Robert Legvold, ed., Russian Foreign Policy in the Twenty-First Century and the Shadow of the Past (New York: Columbia University Press, 2007), pp. 109–121.

13 John E. Herbst, William B. Taylor, and Steven Pifer, “When Sanctions Aren’t Enough,” Foreign Policy, March 31, 2014, http://foreignpolicy.com/2014/03/31/whensanctions-arent-enough/.

14 Stephen J. Blank, “Enter Asia: The Arctic Heats Up,” World Affairs (March/April 2014), p. 23, http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/article/enter-asia-arctic-heats

15 Stephen J. Blank, “Introduction,” in Stephen J. Blank, ed., Politics and Economics in Putin’s Russia (Carlisle, Pa.: Strategic Studies Institute, 2013), pp. 1—34; и Office of the Director of National Intelligence, “Statement for the Record: Worldwide Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community,” by James R. Clapper, Director of National Intelligence, testimony to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, January 29, 2014, p. 23, http://www.dni.gov/index.php/newsroom/testimonies/ 203-congressional-testimonies-2014/1005-statement-for-the-record-worldwide-threatassessment-of-the-us-intelligence-community.