Роберт Фрэнк - Успех и удача [Фактор везения и миф меритократии] [litres]

Young M. The Rise of the Meritocracy. L.: Transaction, 1994.

Young M. Down with Meritocracy // The Guardian. June 28, 2001. ‹ http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2001/jun/29/comment›.

Lewis M. Don’t Eat Fortune’s Cookie // Princeton University’s 2012 Baccalaureate Remarks. ‹ http://www.princeton.edu/main/news/archive/S33/87/54K53/›.

Frank R.H. Before Tea, Thank Your Lucky Stars // New York Times. April 26, 2009. ‹ http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/26/business/economy/26view.html?_r=0›.

Luck Is the Real Key to Success? // Fox Business News. May 7, 2011. ‹ http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/3887675/luck-is-the-real-key-to-success/#sp=show-clips›.

Gross T. Fresh Air Remembers the Crime Novelist Elmore Leonard // National Public Radio. August 23, 2013. ‹ http://www.npr.org/player/v2/media-Player.html?action=1&t=1&islist=false&id=214831379&m=214836712›.

Share Your DMV Horror Stories. ‹ http://www.early-retirement.org/fo-rums/f27/share-your-dmv-horror-stories-27324-2.html›.

Lazarsfeld P . The American Soldier: An Expository Review // Public Opinion Quarterly. 1949. Vol. 13. No. 3. P. 377–404.

Watts D. Everything Is Obvious* (*Once You Know the Answer). N. Y.: Crown, 2011.

См.: Leslie I. Why the Mona Lisa Stands Out // Intelligent Life. May/June, 2014. ‹ http://moreintelligentlife.com/content/ideas/ian-leslie/overexposed-works-art›.

Gladwell M . Outliers. N. Y.: Pantheon, 2008. [Рус. изд.: Гладуэлл М. Гении и аутсайдеры. М.: Манн, Иванов и Фербер, 2016.]

Ibid. P. 54, 55. [Там же. С. 48.]

Einav L., Yariv L . What’s in a Surname? The Effects of Surname Initials on Academic Success // Journal of Economic Perspectives. 2006. Vol. 20. No. 1. P. 175–188.

Frank R.H., Cook P.J. The Winner-Take-All Society. N. Y.: Free Press, 1995.

Rosen S. The Economics of Superstars // American Economic Review. December 1981. No. 71. P. 845.

Anderson C. The Long Tail: Why the Future of Business Is Selling Less of More. N. Y.: Hyperion, 2006. [Рус. изд.: Андерсон К. Длинный хвост. Эффективная модель бизнеса в интернете. М.: Манн, Иванов и Фербер, 2012.]

Inside the Numbers // High School Baseball Web. ‹ http://www.hsbaseballweb.com/inside_the_numbers.htm›.

См.: List of World Records in Athletics // Wikipedia. ‹ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_world_records_in_athletics#Men› and ‹ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Athletics_record_progressions›.

Поскольку вероятность того, что при бросании монетки выпадет «орел», составляет 1/2, вероятность того, что это произойдет 20 раз подряд, определяется как (1/2) 20, что составляет 0,0000095367.

Mauboussin M. The Success Equation. Cambridge, MA: Harvard Business Review Press, 2012.

В обобщенном виде эти исследования представлены в публикации: Kahneman D. Thinking Fast and Slow. N. Y.: Farrar, Strauss, and Giroux, 2011. [Рус. изд.: Канеман Д. Думай медленно… Решай быстро. М.: АСТ, 2017.] Весьма интересный рассказ о том, почему этот подход оказался столь важным для экономистов, см.: Thaler R.H. Misbehaving. N. Y.: W. W. Norton, 2015. [Рус. изд.: Талер Р . Новая поведенческая экономика. Почему люди нарушают правила традиционной экономики. М.: Эксмо, 2017.]

Cross P. Not Can but Will College Teachers Be Improved? // New Directions for Higher Education. 1977. No. 17. P. 1–15.

Alloy L.B., Abramson L.Y. Depressive Realism: Four Theoretical Perspectives // Cognitive Processes in Depression / L.B. Alloy (ed.). N. Y.: Guilford, 1988. P. 223–265.

Разумеется, недооценка минусов, связанных с будущей работой, эквивалентна переоценке ее плюсов.

Всестороннее обсуждение этой тенденции см.: Ainslie G . Pico-economics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2001.

Carey J.M., Paulhus D. Worldview Implications of Believing in Free Will and/or Determinism: Politics, Morality, and Punitiveness // Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. April 2013. Vol. 81. No. 2. P. 130–141.

Baumeister R.F., Sparks E.A., Stillman T.F., Vohs K.D . Free Will in Consumer Behavior: Self-Control, Ego Depletion, and Choice // Journal of Consumer Psychology. 2008. Vol. 18. P. 4–13.

Gilovich T. Two Enemies of Gratitude // Presentation at the Greater Good Gratitude Summit. June 7, 2014. ‹ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eLnAbkdXgCo›.

Gilovich T. Op. cit.

Gilovich T., Davidai S. Unpublished ms., 2015.

Report Card for America’s Infrastructure // American Society of Civil Engineers. 2013. ‹ http://www.infrastructurereportcard.org›.

Desrochers D.M., Hurlburt S. Trends in College Spending: 2001–2011; A Delta Data Update // Delta Cost Project: American Institutes for Research. 2014. ‹ www.deltacostproject.org/sites/default/files/products/Delta%20Cost_Trends%20College%20Spending%202001–2011_071414_rev.pdf›.

Hiltonsmith R. Pulling Up the Higher-Ed Ladder: Myth and Reality in the Crisis of College Affordability. ‹ www.demos.org/publication/pulling-higher-ed-ladder-myth-and-reality-crisis-college-affordability›.

Murphy L., Nagel T . The Myth of Ownership. N. Y.: Oxford University Press, 2001.

DeSteno D., Bartlett M.Y., Baumann J. et al. Gratitude as Moral Sentiment: Emotion-Guided Cooperation in Economic Exchange // Emotion. 2010. Vol. 10. No. 2. P. 289–293.

Bartlett M., DeSteno D. Gratitude and Prosocial Behavior: Helping When It Costs You // Psychological Science. April 2006. Vol. 17. No. 4. P. 319–325.

Slate. ‹ http://www.slate.com/articles/business/it_seems_to_me/1997/05/herb_steins_unfamiliar_quotations.single.html›.

Clemens S., Barnes R . Support for Same-Sex Marriage at an All-Time High // Washington Post. April 23, 2015. ‹ https://www.washington-post.com/politics/courts_law/poll-gay-marriage-support-at-record-high/2015/04/22/f6548332-e92a-11e4-aae1-d642717d8afa_story.html›.

The Knot,the #1Wedding Site,Releases 2014 Real Weddings Study Statistics // Market Watch. March 12, 2015. ‹ http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-knot-the-1-wedding-site-releases-2014-real-weddings-study-statistics-2015-03-12›.

Francis A.M., Mialon H.M. A Diamond Is Forever and Other Fairy Tales: The Relationship between Wedding Expenses and Marriage Duration // Social Science Research Network. ‹ http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/pa-pers.cfm?abstract_id=2501480›.

Frank R.H., Levine A.S., Dijk O. Expenditure Cascades // Review of Behavioral Economics. 2014. Vol. 1. No. 1–2. P. 55–73.

Bowles S., Park Y. Emulation, Inequality, and Work Hours: Was Thorsten Veblen Right? // Economic Journal. 2005. Vol. 115. No. 507. Р. F397–F412.

Frank R.H. The Darwin Economy: Liberty, Competition, and the Common Good. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2011. [Рус. изд.: Фрэнк Р . Дарвиновская экономика. М.: Издательство Института Гайдара, 2013.]

Calvino I. Mr. Palomar. L.: Secker and Warburg, 1983. P. 11, 12. [Рус. изд.: Кальвино И . Паломар // Иностранная литература. 1994. № 9. С. 67.]

Ibid. P. 12. [Там же.]

Bodvarsson O.B., Gibson W.A. Gratuities and Customer Appraisal of Service: Evidence from Minnesota Restaurants // Journal of Socioeconomics. 1994. No. 23. P. 287–302.

Putnam R.D . Our Kids: The American Dream in Crisis. N. Y.: Simon and Shuster, 2015.

Frank R.H. Passions within Reason. [Рус. изд.: Фрэнк Р. Страсти в нашем разуме.]

За содействие в моделировании результатов, приведённых в Приложении 1, я искренне благодарю мою замечательную ассистентку Ючжоу Хо.

Frank R.H. The Estate Tax: Efficient, Fair, and Misunderstood // New York Times. May 12, 2005. ‹ http://www.nytimes.com/2005/05/12/business/the-estate-tax-efficient-fair-and-misunderstood.html?_r=0›.

Buffett’s Lasting Legacy: Immaterial Wealth // National Public Radio. May 6, 2010. ‹ http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=126538348›.

Viard A.D., Carroll R. Progressive Consumption Taxation: The X-Tax Revisited. Washington, DC: AEI Press, 2012.

Kristof N. Is a Hard Life Inherited? // New York Times. August 9, 2014. ‹ http://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/10/opinion/sunday/nicho-las-kristof-is-a-hard-life-inherited.html?_r=0›.

Перевод Юрия Таранникова.

Francis A.M., Mialon H.M. A Diamond Is Forever and Other Fairy Tales: The Relationship between Wedding Expenses and Marriage Duration // Social Science Research Network. ‹ http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/pa-pers.cfm?abstract_id=2501480›.

The Knot,the #1Wedding Site,Releases 2014 Real Weddings Study Statistics // Market Watch. March 12, 2015. ‹ http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-knot-the-1-wedding-site-releases-2014-real-weddings-study-statistics-2015-03-12›.