Дэниел Ергин - Новая карта мира. Энергетические ресурсы, меняющийся климат и столкновение наций

Vaclav Smil, Energy Transitions: Global and National Perspectives (Santa Barbara: Praeger, 2017).

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2007); Rajendra Pachauri, CERAWeek, February 11, 2008; Gayathri Vaidyanathan, «U. N. Climate Science Body Launches Search to Replace a Strong Leader,» E& E News, February 25, 2015.

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II, and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Geneva: IPCC, 2014); Steven Koonin, «Climate Science Is Not Settled,» Wall Street Journal, September 19, 2014.

Mark Landler and Helene Cooper, «After a Bitter Campaign, Forging an Alliance,» New York Times , March 18, 2010 («worst meeting»); Bruce Einhorn, «Why the US-China Emissions Pact Could Be a Climate Change Breakthrough,» Bloomberg , November 12, 2014.

Fiona Harvey, «Paris Climate Change Agreement,» Guardian , December 14, 2015; Suzanne Goldenberg, John Vidal, Lenore Taylor, Adam Vaughan, and Fiona Harvey, «Paris Climate Deal,» Guardian , December 12, 2015 (secretary-general); Remarks by President Obama on the Paris Agreement, October 5, 2016; «Donald Trump Would ‘Cancel’ Paris Climate Deal,» BBC News, May 27, 2016 (Trump).

Global Climate Project, Global Climate Report 2019; Daniel Yergin, The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern World (New York: Penguin, 2011), pp. 422-28.

Greta Thunberg, No One Is Too Small to Make a Difference (New York: Penguin, 2019), pp. 10, 62, 96-99; Charlotte Alter, Suyin Haynes, and Justin Worland, «2019 Person of the Year – Greta Thunberg,» Time , December 11, 2019; Greta Thunberg, Luisa Neubauer, and Angela Valenzuela, «Why We Strike Again,» Project Syndicate , November 29, 2019.

Недопущения повышения температуры на 2 ℃. – Прим. пер.

Mark Carney, «Breaking the Tragedy of the Horizons – Climate Change and Financial Stability,» Speech, September 29, 2015.

Стран «большой двадцатки». – Прим. пер.

«Final Report: Recommendations of the Task Force for Climate-related Financial Disclosures,» Task Force for Climate-related Financial Disclosures, June 2017; Larry Fink’s Letter to CEOs, January 14, 2020; Climate Bonds Initiative 2019; Andrew Edgecliffe-Johnson and Billy Nauman, «Fossil Fuel Divestment Had ‘Zero’ Climate Impact, Says Bill Gates,» Financial Times, September 17, 2019.

Valerie Pavilonis and Matt Kristofferen, «Delay Second Half of The Game,» Yale Daily News, November 23, 2019; Alan Murray and David Meyer, «Against Oil Divestment,» Fortune, November 26, 2019 (Swensen).

Climate Accountability Institute and Union of Concerned Scientists, «Establishing Accountability for Climate Change Damages: Lessons from Tobacco Control,» La Jolla, California, June 14-15, 2012, www.ucsusa.org/sites/default/files/attach/2016/04/establishing-accountability-climate-change-damages-lessons-tobacco-control.pdf; Amie Tsang and Stanley Reed, «Guardian Stops Accepting Fossil Fuel Ads,» New York Times, January 30, 2020; Anna Bateson and Hamish Nicklin, «Guardian Will No Longer Accept Fossil Fuel Advertising,» Guardian, January 29, 2020.

Hiroko Tabuchi and Nadja Popovich, «How Guilty Should You Feel About Flying?» New York Times , October 17, 2019; «Climate Confessions,» NBC News, https://www.nbcnews.com/news/specials/climate-confessions-share-solutions-climate-change-n1054791; James Pickford, «RSC Brings Curtain Down,» Financial Times , October 2, 2019.

Opening Statement in the European Parliament Plenary Session by Ursula von der Leyen, Strasbourg, July 16, 2019; Ewa Krukowska and Bloomberg , «‘A Quantum Leap in Its Ambition’: Europe’s Investment Bank,» Fortune , November 15, 2019; Kelly Levin and Chantal Davis, «What Does ‘Net-Zero Emissions’ Mean? 6 Common Questions, Answered,» WRI, September 17, 2019; European Commission, Supplementary Report on Using the TEG Taxonomy , June 2019; Final Report on Financing a Sustainable European Economy (March 2020).

Samuel Petrequin and Raf Casert, «EU Commission President Announces ‘European Green Deal,’ Christian Science Monitor via Associated Press, December 11, 2019; Jean Pisani-Ferry, «A Credible Decarbonization Agenda Can Help Strengthen Europe’s Economy,» Peterson Institute for International Economics, December 9, 2019; European Commission, «Europe’s Moment: Repair and Prepare for the Next Generation,» May 27, 2020; EU press release, «Europe’s Moment,» May 27, 2020.

Christina Zhao, «Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Warns, ‘World Is Going to End in 12 Years’,» Newsweek, January 22, 2019; Green New Deal Fact Sheet, February 7, 2019, https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/5729035/Green-New-Dea-FAQ.pdf; «House Resolution 109, Recognizing the Duty of the Federal Government to Create a Green New Deal,» February 2, 2019. For an analysis of a Green New Deal in terms of «how the economy has changed and government has evolved,» see Jason Bordoff, «Getting Real About the Green New Deal,» Democracy Journal, March 25, 2019.

«The Father of Photovoltaics – Martin Green Profile,» ABC, May 26, 2011.

John Fialka, «Why China Is Dominating the Solar Industry,» Scientific American , September 19, 2016; Charlie Zhu and Bill Powell, «Special Report: The Rise and Fall of China’s Sun King,» Reuters, May 18, 2013.

Martin Green, «How Did Solar Cells Get So Cheap?» Joule 3, no. 3, March 20, 2019, pp. 631-33.

IHS Markit, PV Module Supply Chain Tracker, PV Installation Tracker; PV Supplier Tracker ; Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century (REN21), Renewables 2018: Global Status Report , p. 97 («cutthroat pricing»).

IHS Markit, Global Renewable Power Market Outlook , March 2020.

IHS Markit Global Energy Scenarios; Varun Sivaram, Taming the Sun (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2018), pp. 43-45.

Sivaram, Taming the Sun , pp. 56, 71.

Ernest Moniz et al., Optionality, Flexibility & Innovation: Pathways for Deep Decarbonization in California (Washington, D.C.: Energy Futures Initiative, May 2019); Timothy P. Gardner, Michael Stoppard, Dan Clay, and Raul Timponi, «Exploring the Efficient Frontier: A Global Perspective on the Gas-Renewables Partnership,» Global Gas Strategic Report, IHS Markit, September 2018.

IHS Markit and Energy Futures Initiative, Advancing the Landscape of Clean Energy Innovation Breakthrough Energy Coalition , February 2019, chapter 3; Third Way, «2019 Advanced Nuclear Map,» October 2019.

IHS Markit launched a major research program on hydrogen in 2017 that focused on Europe, California, and China and continues in the Forum on Hydrogen and Renewable Gas.

Joeri Rogelj et al., «Mitigation Pathways Compatible with 1.5 ℃ in the Context of Sustainable Development,» in Special Report: Global Warming of 1.5 ℃ , Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Geneva, 2018; IPCC, B. Metz et al., eds., IPCC Special Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage. Prepared by Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2005); Francois Bastin et al., «The Global Tree Restoration Potential,» Science 365, no. 6448 (July 5, 2019), pp. 76-79. For an overview of options, see U.S. National Petroleum Council, Meeting the Dual Challenge: A Roadmap to At-Scale Deployment of Carbon Capture, Use, and Storage: Final Report , December 12, 2019.

Salk Institute, Harnessing Plants Initiative, https://www.salk.edu/harnessing-plants-initiative/.

Timipre Sylva, Nigerian minister of state and petroleum resources, Remarks at Russian Energy Week, October 2019; WHO Guidelines for Indoor Air Quality: Household Fuel Combustion (Geneva: World Health Organization, 2014), «Household Air Pollution and Health,» May 8, 2018.

Government of India, Economic Survey 2018-2019 , p. 180; Alex Thornton, «7 of the World’s 10 Most Polluted Cities,» World Economic Forum, March 5, 2019.

Shreerupa Mitra, ed. Energizing India: Fueling a Billion Lives (New Delhi: Rupa Publications, 2019), pp. 13-14, and for an overview of India’s energy position.

Interview with Dharmendra Pradhan.

Mitra, Energizing India , p. 74 («gas-based economy»).

Interview with Dharmendra Pradhan.

Atul Arya, «Whither Energy Transition?» Blog, December 13, 2019.

Remarks, International Energy Forum, Beijing, December 5, 2019; State Council, People’s Republic of China, «Premier Calls for High Quality Energy Development,» October 11, 2019, http://english.www.gov.cn/premier/news/201910/11/contentWS5da08a3fc6d0bcf8c4c14e92.html.

IHS Markit Mobility and Energy Future Scenarios 2019.

Tsvetana Paraskova, «IEA Chief: EVs Are Not the End of the Oil Era,» OilPrice.com, January 22, 2019 (Fatih Birol); John Heimlich, «Tracking Impacts of COVID-19,» Airlines for America, April 24, 2020.

Fenit Nirappil, «On Patrol with the Enforcer of DC’s Plastic Straw Ban,» Washington Post , January 28, 2019.

Prachi Patel, «Stemming the Plastic Tide: 10 Rivers Contribute Most of the Plastic in the Oceans,» Scientific American, February 1, 2018; Source: Christian Schmidt, Tobias Krauth, and Stephan Wagner, «Export of Plastic Debris by Rivers into the Sea,» Environmental Science and Technology 51, no. 21 (November 7, 2017); Jeremy Hess, Daniel Bednarz, Jaeyong Bae, and Jessica Pierce, «Petroleum and Health Care: Evaluating and Managing Health Care’s Vulnerability to Petroleum Supply Shifts,» American Journal of Public Health 101, no. 9 (2011), pp. 1568-79; A Sea Change: Plastics Pathway to Sustainability, Multi-Client Study on Recycling & Sustainability, IHS Markit, November 2018.

Mark P. Mills, «Testimony Before the U.S. Senate Energy Committee Sources and Uses of Minerals for a Clean Energy Economy,» September 16, 2019.

Daniel Yergin and Joseph Stanislaw, The Commanding Heights: The Battle for the World Economy (New York: Simon & Schuster, 2002).