Майкл Шелленбергер - Конца света не будет. Почему экологический алармизм причиняет нам вред

Jon E. Keeley and Alexandra D. Syphard, “Twenty-first Century California, USA, Wildfires: Fuel-Dominated vs. Wind-Dominated Fires,” Fire Ecology 15, article no. 24, July 18, 2019, https://doi.org/10.1186/s42408-019-0041-0.

Jon E. Keeley and Alexandra D. Syphard, “Historical Patterns of Wildfire Ignition Sources in California Ecosystems,” International Journal of Wildland Fire 27, no. 12 (2018): 781–99, https://doi.org/10.1071/WF18026.

Jon. E. Keeley (U.S. Geological Survey scientist) in discussion with the author, November 4, 2019.

Jon. E. Keeley (U.S. Geological Survey scientist) in discussion with the author, November 4, 2019.

Jon. E. Keeley (U.S. Geological Survey scientist) in discussion with the author, November 4, 2019.

Jon. E. Keeley (U.S. Geological Survey scientist) in discussion with the author, November 4, 2019.

Jon. E. Keeley (U.S. Geological Survey scientist) in discussion with the author, November 4, 2019.

David Packham, interviewed by Andrew Bolt, The Bolt Report, Sky News Australia, November 11, 2019, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E6RrgBrb6R8.

S. Ellis, P. Kanowski, and R.J. Whelan, “National Inquiry on Bushfire Mitigation and Management,” University of Wollongong Research Online, March 31, 2004, https://ro.uow.edu.au. Luke Henrique-Gomes, “Bushfires death toll rises to 33 after body found in burnt-out house near Moruya,” Guardian, January 24, 2020, https://www.theguardian.com. “Bushfire – Southeast Victoria,” Australia Institute for Disaster Resilience, https://knowledge.aidr.org.au/resources/bushfire-south-east-victoria. Bernard Teague, Ronald McLeod, and Susan Pascoe, Final Report Summary, Victorian Brushfires Royal Commission, 2009. http://royalcommission.vic.gov.au/finaldocuments/summary/PF/VBRC_Summary_PF.pdf. // “Black Friday bushfires, 1939,” Australia Institute for Disaster Resilience, https://knowledge.aidr.org.au/resources/bushfire-black-friday-victoria-1939.

Lauren Jeffrey (British YouTuber) in discussion with the author, December 3, 2019.

Dan McDougall, “‘Ecological grief’: Greenland residents traumatised by climate emergency,” Guardian, August 12, 2019, https://www.theguardian.com; Mary Ward, “Climate anxiety is real, and young people are feeling it,” Sydney Morning Herald, September 20, 2019, https://www.smh.com.au.

Susan Clayton et al., “Mental Health and Our Changing Climate: Impacts, Implications, and Guidance,” American Psychological Association and ecoAmerica, March 2017, https://www.apa.org/news/press/releases/2017/03/mental-health-climate.pdf.

Reuters, “One in five UK children report nightmares about climate change,” March 2, 2020.

Sonia Elks, “Suffering Eco-anxiety over Climate Change, Say Psychologists,” Reuters, September 19, 2019, https://www.reuters.com.

Rupert Read, “How I Talk with Children About Climate Breakdown,” YouTube (video), August 18, 2019, https://youtu.be/6Lt0jCDtYSY.

Zion Lights, interviewed by Andrew Neil, The Andrew Neil Show, BBC, aired October 10, 2019, on BBC, https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=7&v=pO1TTcETyuU&feature=emb_logo.

Здесь и далее: по состоянию на июль 2022 года Facebook, Instagram, Twitter и Linkedin внесены в реестр запрещенных сайтов на территории РФ.

Lauren Jeffrey, “An Open Letter to Extinction Rebellion,” YouTube (video), October 21, 2019, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iyYPLkWV3l0.

Peter James Spielmann, “UN Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not Checked,” Associated Press, June 29, 1989, https://apnews.com.

Roger Pielke, Jr., “The Uninhabitable Earth – Future Imperfect,” Financial Times, March 8, 2019, https://www.ft.com.

Allyson Chiu, “ ‘It Snuck up on Us’: Scientists Stunned by ‘City-Killer’ Asteroid That Just Missed Earth,” «The Washington Post», July 26, 2019, www.washingtonpost.com.

Nick Perry, “Death toll from New Zealand volcano rises to 21 as victim dies from injuries nearly two months later,” Independent, January 29, 2020, https://www.independent.co.uk.

“ ‘Stealth Transmission’ Fuels Fast Spread of Coronavirus Outbreak,” Mailman School of Public Health at Columbia University, February 26, 2020, https://www.mailman.columbia.edu/public-health-now/news/stealth-transmission-fuels-fast-spread-coronavirus-outbreak.

Kerry Emanuel (climate scientist, MIT) in discussion with the author, November 15, 2019.

International Energy Agency, “Global CO2 Emissions in 2019,” February 11, 2020. European Commission, “Progress Made in Cutting Emissions,” accessed March 2, 2020. Carbon Brief, “Analysis: Why US carbon emissions have fallen 14 % since 2005,” August 15, 2017. BP Energy Data, 2019.

USA emissions from EIA, “US Carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption (from 1973),” EIA, accessed February 1, 2020, https://www.eia.gov/environment/data.php. UK emissions from UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, “National Statistics: Provisional UK Greenhouse Gas Emissions National Statistics 2018,” UK government website, March 28, 2019, https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/provisional-uk-greenhouse-gas-emis sions-national-statistics-2018.

Justin Ritchie (@jritch), “With this in mind, it is fair to say that the global energy system today, as modeled by IEA, is tracking much closer to 2˚ of warming this century than previously thought. Thread: 5/11,” Twitter, November 18, 2019, 9:37 a.m., https://twitter.com/jritch/status /1196482584710004736.

Leonardo DiCaprio (@leonardodicaprio), “#Regram #RG @rainforest alliance: The lungs of the Earth are in flames…,” Instagram photo, August 22, 2019, https://www.instagram.com/p/B1eBsWDlfF1/?utm_source=ig_web_button_share_sheet. Cristiano Ronaldo (@cristiano), “The Amazon Rainforest produces more than 20 % of the world’s oxygen and its been burning for the past 3 weeks. It’s our responsibility to help to save our planet. #prayforamazonia,” Twitter, August 22, 2019, https://twitter.com/Cristiano/status/1164588606436106240?s=20. Journalists, too, described the Amazon as the lungs of the world. “The Amazon remains a net source of oxygen today,” said a journalist on CNN. Susan Scutti, “Here’s What We Know About the Fires in the Amazon Rainforest,” CNN, August 24, 2019, https://www.cnn.com.

Alexandria Symonds, “Amazon Rainforest Fires: Here’s What’s Really Happening,” New York Times, August 23, 2019, https://www.nytimes.com.

Max Fisher, “ ‘It’s Really Close’: How the Amazon Rainforest Could SelfDestruct,” New York Times, August 30, 2019, https://www.nytimes.com.

Symonds, “Amazon Rainforest Fires: Here’s What’s Really Happening.”

Franklin Foer, “The Amazon Fires Are More Dangerous than WMDs,” The Atlantic, August 24, 2019. Alexander Zaitchik, “Rainforest on Fire,” The Intercept, July 6, 2019, https://theclimatecenter.org/rainforest-on-fire.

Emmanuel Macron, “Our house is burning. Literally. The Amazon rainforest – the lungs which produces 20 % of our planet’s oxygen – is on fire. It is an international crisis. Members of the G7 Summit, let’s discuss this emergency first order in two days! #ActForTheAmazon,” Twitter, August 22, 2019, 12:15 p.m., https://twitter.com/emmanuelmacron/status/1164617008962527232.

Kendra Pierre-Louis, “The Amazon, Siberia, Indonesia: A World of Fire,” New York Times, August 28, 2019, https://www.nytimes.com.

“Communication to the Committee on the Rights of the Child in the Case of Sacchi et al. v. Argentina et al.,” September 23, 2019, https://childrenvsclimatecrisis.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/2019.09.23-CRC-communication-Sacchi-et-al-v.-Argentina-et-al-2.pdf.

“Land Use,” Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/RL.

Jane Brody, “Concern for the Rainforest Has Begun to Blossom,” New York Times, October 13, 1987, https://timesmachine.nytimes.com.

Michael Shellenberger, “An Interview with Founder of Earth Innovation, Dan Nepstad,” Environmental Progress, August 25, 2019, http://environmentalprogress.org/big-news/2019/8/29/an-interview-with-founder-of-earth-innovation-dan-nepstad.

Yadvinder Malhi, “Does the Amazon Provide 20 % of Our Oxygen?” August 24, 2019, http://www.yadvindermalhi.org/blog/does-the-amazon-provide-20-of-our-oxygen.

Doyle Rice, “What Would the Earth Be Like Without the Amazon Rainforest?” USA Today, August 28, 2019, https://www.usatoday.com.

Valerie Richardson, “Celebrities Get Fact-Checked After Sharing Fake Photos of Amazon Rainforest Fire,” Washington Times, August 26, 2019, https://www.washingtontimes.com.

“Aerial View of the Taim Ecological Station on Fire,” Baltimore Sun, March 29, 2013, http://darkroom.baltimoresun.com.

Niraj Chokshi, “As Amazon Fires Spread, So Do the Misleading Photos,” New York Times, August 23, 2019, https://www.nytimes.com.

“PRODES-Amazônia,” Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, November 18, 2019, accessed December 16, 2019, http://www.obt.inpe.br/OBT/assuntos/programas/amazonia/prodes.

“Monitoramento dos Focos Ativos por Países,” Queimadas Instituto Nacional De Pesquisas Espaciais, January 1, 2020, http://queimadas.dgi.inpe.br/queimadas/portal-static/estatisticas_paises.

Michael Shellenberger, “An Interview with Founder of Earth Innovation, Dan Nepstad,” Environmental Progress, August 25, 2019, http://environmentalprogress.org/big-news/2019/8/29/an-interview-with-founder-of-earth-innovation-dan-nepstad.

Luke Gibson, Tien Ming Lee, Lian Pin Koh et al., “Primary Forests Are Irreplaceable for Sustaining Tropical Biodiversity,” Nature, no. 478 (2011): 378–381, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature10425.

Years of Living Dangerously, season 2, episode 4, “Fueling the Fire,” directed by Jon Meyersohn and Jonathan Schienberg, National Geographic, November 16, 2016.

Michael Williams, Deforesting the Earth: From Prehistory to Global Crisis, an Abridgment (Chicago: University of Chicago, 2006), 87, 106.